Summary: 
Mohammed Ali Ahmed, a former South
Yemeni leader who
 recently returned from exile, survived an assassination
attempt on
 September 10. Al-Monitor's Farea al-Muslimi interviewed 
Ahmed, who
rarely speaks and remains mostly in seclusion, earlier
 this summer on topics
ranging from al-Qaeda to South Yemen’s
 prospects for independence
 Al-Monitor
 Author:                Farea al-Muslimi
On Monday in Yemen’s eastern province of Hadramout, a bomb exploded outside a gathering of southern Yemeni  leaders. The detonation was premature and there were no casualties
Inside the meeting sat the target of the assassination attempt: Mohammed Ali  Ahmed, a South  Yemeni leader who returned to the country in March after 18 years of exile  in Britain. Ahmed fled the country after South Yemen lost the 1994 Yemeni civil  war. In a July 12 interview with Al-Monitor, Ahmed said “peaceful  struggle” is the way for southern Yemenis to achieve their rights. But Ahmed did  not forswear returning to violence to achieve his goals.
“We don’t believe in violence,” Ahmed sfaid, “but if doors are closed on our  peaceful paths, no one can keep us away from our cause.”
Before, Ahmed was governor of Abyan province, which is today a flash point in  the war between the Yemeni army and al-Qaeda. Ahmed took part in the 1986 power struggle and  clashes between Socialist Party leaders — today regarded as one of the bloodiest  periods in South Yemen's short history. Some even say Ahmed was, in effect, the  president of South Yemen at that time. In addition to mobilizing tribes to fight  against al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Abyan, Ahmed is now working  to regain what he calls “southern independence” from the north, which he calls the “sacrificial cow” state, because in North Yemen, cows are sacrificed to settle  tribal disputes.
 Each day, from morning to night, Ahmed’s house is packed with southerners  from different social levels and groups. With a charismatic but enigmatic  character, Ahmed speaks with a passion about liberating the south from the “occupiers and invaders.” Despite the fact that Ahmed lived in Britain for 18  years, he does not speak English, or even standard Fusha Arabic. He still speaks  colloquial Yemeni Arabic in an Abyan accent. He is currently the most powerful  southern leader inside Yemen.
Al-Monitor spoke to Mohammed Ali Ahmed at his home in Aden on July  12, 2012.
Al-Monitor:  Mr. Ahmed, it looks that  unity by force is the worst form of separation, but it also looks like southern  leaders are leaning heavily on the international community to regain their  independence, bearing in mind Yemen’s strategic complexity. What is your vision  for gaining independence for South Yemen? What are your tools? Are you, as  someone who supports federalism that leads to independence, hoping for a South  Sudan scenario? Are you planning to be an armed movement?
Ahmed:  Actually, peaceful struggle is our principal  goal and we think it is the best tool by which to gain our independence. It is  the tool our people have chosen for the southern movement. However, revolution  has two types of goals: strategic and tactical. The strategic goal is to gain  independence using different means: peaceful struggle, protests, demonstrations,  etc. If it is necessary, it will turn into armed movement. This is only if we  cannot achieve our goals through peaceful means. But southerners have chosen  peacefulness up to now. However, if the nonviolent strategy fails, that will be  something we cannot control. The reality and our people will make new  choices.
Al-Monitor:  You think  you can achieve independence via armed resistance?
Ahmed:  Anything is possible. Though [former  Yemeni president Ali Abdullah] Saleh occupied the south with the military, he  himself was not really controlling the south. [Southern leaders, like current  president Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi, helped Saleh in the war.] There might be some  new circumstances that help us today or tomorrow, too. We don’t believe in  violence, but if doors are closed on our peaceful paths, no one can keep us away  from our cause. 
Al-Monitor:  Earlier  this morning, you mentioned that “if peaceful tools don’t achieve our goals, we  southerners are willing to ally with the devil to achieve our independence.”
Ahmed:  Not now; each incident will have its own  conversation. 
Al-Monitor:  It seems  that the Arab Spring got rid of some of the old guard and brought youthful  voices onto the scene. But that does not seem to be the case with Yemen’s  southern movement. Since we met this morning, I have not seen any youths among  your advisers or in your meetings.
Ahmed:  We depend on youth as our main grass-roots  support and as active participants at the same time. We consider youth as the  number-one element in our struggle; women rank second. Even in distributing  leadership positions and roles, we gave youth 10% and 10% to the women in our  upcoming southern national conference.
Al-Monitor:  How do you  evaluate President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi’s role so far, particularly his  handling of the southern issue?
Ahmed:  Walahi [I swear], personally, I’m very  happy because I think of him as a president who is helpful to the southern  cause, even though he doesn’t have military or institutional support in the  government, because they are loyal to the old regime and are not under his  control. We consider him to be a southerner and we think it is his right to say  his opinion about the southern issue even if he is a president. 
Al-Monitor:  Is there  any coordination between you and former South Yemen president Ali Salim  al-Biedh?
Ahmed:  Yes, we have been in touch and he supports our  work internally, and he has given his blessing for some of his followers and  supporters to work with us. However, he has some reservations that our brothers  in northern Yemen are coup experts and liars who do not stick to their  words. 
Al-Monitor:  What about  his relationship with Iran? Doesn’t his commitment to external powers distract  or limit what you can and cannot do internally? 
Ahmed:  His connections with Iran are still political  talks; I’m not totally sure about it. If all his possible doors are closed, then  he has the right to cooperate with Iran to save his people. Iran is an important  country to the Arabian Peninsula and to the international community. But  honestly, we do not want to have a relationship with it, nor do we want it to  have its hands in the southern issue due to its problems with the international  and European community and with its surrounding Arab neighbors. That is because  we have an ethical commitment toward our neighbors. We must stand in solidarity  with them since they have land and border issues with Iran.
Al-Monitor:  You enjoy  powerful support in the south, but at the same time you enjoy a strong  friendship with northern stakeholders, whom southern people look to as their  enemies, including figures such as Hameed al-Ahmar and Ali Mohsen al-Ahmar.
Ahmed:  Making everyone happy is impossible. If we are  happy with someone in the regime, we are seen as part of it, which is not true.  We don’t care about what is being said by others because we have confidence in  ourselves, our nation and our supporters. The majority supports what we do and  we are with this majority. At the same time, we will try to meet with the other  actors in the south to choose one unified leadership that will have the  authority and legitimacy to negotiate our independence. 
Al-Monitor:  In 1986,  South Yemen comrades killed each other in a bloody battles, agreed to  reunification without consulting their people and declared the 1994 Yemeni civil  war that helped precipitate the current poor security situation in the south.  You are isolating southern youths from decision making, you made problems with  the neighboring countries like Oman ... All these things lead one wonder what  makes you any different from the Sanaa regime.
Ahmed:  Seen through international eyes, we are seen as  no different from Saleh. But our people see it a different way. They are people  who faced much from Saleh and his regime, which used all of their tools to  create problems among southern leaders because they knew southern unity would  end North Yemen’s chances in the south. And as you can see, it is clear that no  matter how much the north fights amongst itself, the regime and opposition  parties large and small all unite against the south.
 Unfortunately, we southerners are not aware of this danger and so we are  distracted from our goals. In addition to the international and regional  interests, they run contrary to our interests now. We southerners are being  punished because the south was ruled by a socialist party and the region’s power  fears such parties. 
Al-Monitor:  Some fear  that calling for southern independence is an introduction to further fragmentation. Recently, new groups are calling for a return  to the [fragmented states of pre-united Yemen]. Some are also calling for a  state of Southern Arabia, and so on. Are these fears of further fragmentation  legitimate, bearing in mind that the south was independent for less than 30  years before it united with the north?
Ahmed:  We shouldn’t have such conversations and  demands now. First, we get back our southern state and then our people decide  what they want; they are the decision makers. But at this moment, they are  blocking the road with such calls and demands. Again, let's get back our state  first, and then they can say whatever they want.
 

 
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